South Dakota State
MVFC · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-0 overall
Strength of record
#1
A #25-level team matches it 1.3% of the time
Power
#3
+25.6 pts · likely #1–6
Strength of schedule
47.2
#9 of 129
Strength of victory
47.2
#2
Record SOS
0.663
Opp. 71.3% · Opp. opp. 56.2%
Remaining SOS
45.4
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Sacramento State | W 20-3 | +9.0 | −2.3 | 0.436 | 2 | +23.2 |
| 2 | at Montana State | W 30-24 OT | +26.7 | +2.3 | 0.913 | 1 | +31.3 |
| 3 | vs Drake | W 37-21 | −0.8 | −2.3 | 0.205 | 3 | +15.6 |
| 5 | vs Mercyhurst | W 51-7 | +0.7 | −2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.202
- Wk 8: at Murray State · p 0.116
- Wk 9: vs North Dakota State · p 0.889
- Wk 10: vs Indiana State · p 0.171
- Wk 11: at South Dakota · p 0.574
- Wk 12: vs Illinois State · p 0.388
- Wk 13: at North Dakota · p 0.736
- Wk 14: vs New Hampshire · p 0.291
- Wk 15: at Montana · p 0.723