Mercyhurst
NEC · 2-4 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#67
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#66
−0.9 pts · likely #46–93
Strength of schedule
52.2
#5 of 129
Strength of victory
8.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.526
Opp. 51.4% · Opp. opp. 55.2%
Remaining SOS
16.7
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercyhurst. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Youngstown State | L 15-24 | +11.8 | +2.3 | 0.638 | 1 | +4.0 |
| 2 | vs New Haven | W 48-14 | −10.7 | −2.3 | 0.067 | 4 | +17.8 |
| 3 | at Sacramento State | L 28-49 | +7.4 | +2.3 | 0.520 | 1 | −10.0 |
| 4 | at Montana State | L 0-17 | +27.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Wagner · p 0.096
- Wk 8: vs Duquesne · p 0.355
- Wk 9: vs Stonehill · p 0.095
- Wk 11: at Saint Francis · p 0.064
- Wk 12: vs Robert Morris · p 0.070
- Wk 13: at Central Connecticut State · p 0.320