Youngstown State
MVFC · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#21
A #25-level team matches it 52% of the time
Power
#19
+10.6 pts · likely #10–46
Strength of schedule
38.2
#35 of 129
Strength of victory
22.3
#27
Record SOS
0.535
Opp. 53.8% · Opp. opp. 53.0%
Remaining SOS
47.4
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Youngstown State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Mercyhurst | W 24-15 | −1.0 | −2.3 | 0.202 | 3 | +5.7 |
| 2 | vs Robert Morris | W 56-17 | −7.2 | −2.3 | 0.104 | 3 | +22.9 |
| 4 | at Towson | W 31-28 | +1.5 | +2.3 | 0.363 | 2 | +7.2 |
| 6 | vs South Dakota State | L 30-35 | +27.1 | −2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at North Dakota · p 0.736
- Wk 8: at Illinois State · p 0.514
- Wk 9: vs Murray State · p 0.065
- Wk 10: at North Dakota State · p 0.938
- Wk 11: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.686
- Wk 12: vs Indiana State · p 0.171
- Wk 13: at Northern Iowa · p 0.302
- Wk 14: vs Yale · p 0.376
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Michigan StateFBS · L 24-41