Sacramento State
Big Sky · 2-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#49
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#26
+8.6 pts · likely #13–52
Strength of schedule
41.8
#20 of 129
Strength of victory
24.0
2 wins
Record SOS
0.586
Opp. 55.8% · Opp. opp. 64.2%
Remaining SOS
40.2
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Sacramento State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at South Dakota State | L 3-20 | +26.0 | +2.3 | 0.906 | 1 | +11.0 |
| 3 | vs Mercyhurst | W 49-28 | +1.2 | −2.3 | 0.245 | 3 | +17.7 |
| 4 | vs Central Arkansas | W 45-16 | +0.7 | −2.3 | 0.235 | 3 | +24.5 |
| 5 | vs Cal Poly | L 24-32 | +2.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Weber State · p 0.351
- Wk 8: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.131
- Wk 9: vs Montana · p 0.608
- Wk 10: at Eastern Washington · p 0.382
- Wk 11: at Portland State · p 0.204
- Wk 12: vs Idaho · p 0.419
- Wk 13: at UC Davis · p 0.722
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at NevadaFBS · L 17-20