Central Arkansas
UAC · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#74
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#72
−2.1 pts · likely #46–97
Strength of schedule
37.3
#38 of 129
Strength of victory
9.9
2 wins
Record SOS
0.551
Opp. 60.7% · Opp. opp. 43.9%
Remaining SOS
46.7
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Central Arkansas. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff | W 41-17 | −20.4 | −2.3 | 0.016 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 3 | vs Tarleton State | L 10-56 | +17.7 | −2.3 | 0.669 | 1 | −17.5 |
| 4 | at Sacramento State | L 16-45 | +6.0 | +2.3 | 0.481 | 2 | −18.0 |
| 5 | at Lamar | L 32-35 | +7.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at North Alabama · p 0.266
- Wk 9: at West Georgia · p 0.610
- Wk 10: vs Eastern Kentucky · p 0.318
- Wk 11: at Austin Peay · p 0.633
- Wk 12: at Southern Utah · p 0.507
- Wk 13: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.469
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MissouriFBS · L 6-61