East Tennessee State
Southern · 2-3 vs FCS · 2-4 overall
Strength of record
#66
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#33
+6.9 pts · likely #18–59
Strength of schedule
39.7
#30 of 129
Strength of victory
27.4
2 wins
Record SOS
0.597
Opp. 66.0% · Opp. opp. 47.0%
Remaining SOS
20.5
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Murray State | W 45-17 | −8.9 | −2.3 | 0.085 | 4 | +15.0 |
| 3 | at West Georgia | L 31-35 | +11.0 | +2.3 | 0.617 | 1 | +8.2 |
| 4 | vs Elon | W 26-16 | +10.0 | −2.3 | 0.463 | 2 | +16.1 |
| 5 | vs Mercer | L 34-38 | +10.7 | −2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs VMI · p 0.057
- Wk 8: at Chattanooga · p 0.267
- Wk 9: vs Wofford · p 0.243
- Wk 11: at Samford · p 0.098
- Wk 12: at Western Carolina · p 0.383
- Wk 13: vs The Citadel · p 0.185
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at TennesseeFBS · L 17-72