Elon
CAA · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-2 overall
Strength of record
#22
A #25-level team matches it 55% of the time
Power
#27
+8.5 pts · likely #14–51
Strength of schedule
28.5
#79 of 129
Strength of victory
23.7
#25
Record SOS
0.423
Opp. 40.0% · Opp. opp. 46.9%
Remaining SOS
32.5
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Elon. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Davidson | W 55-7 | −22.0 | −2.3 | 0.012 | 4 | +11.2 |
| 3 | at Western Carolina | W 37-31 | +2.7 | +2.3 | 0.394 | 2 | +11.2 |
| 4 | at East Tennessee State | L 16-26 | +5.8 | +2.3 | 0.477 | 2 | −0.7 |
| 5 | vs Hampton | W 41-20 | −6.6 | −2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Villanova · p 0.495
- Wk 8: at William & Mary · p 0.425
- Wk 9: at Maine · p 0.342
- Wk 11: vs Rhode Island · p 0.399
- Wk 12: at Campbell · p 0.219
- Wk 13: vs North Carolina A&T · p 0.069
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at DukeFBS · L 17-45