Western Carolina
Southern · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#58
A #25-level team matches it 91% of the time
Power
#48
+2.8 pts · likely #28–77
Strength of schedule
25.0
#93 of 129
Strength of victory
21.7
#29
Record SOS
0.451
Opp. 41.7% · Opp. opp. 52.0%
Remaining SOS
30.4
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Western Carolina. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Gardner-Webb | L 45-52 | −1.5 | −2.3 | 0.192 | 3 | −8.6 |
| 3 | vs Elon | L 31-37 | +7.9 | −2.3 | 0.409 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 4 | vs Samford | W 50-35 | −12.8 | −2.3 | 0.051 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 5 | at Campbell | W 42-35 | −4.3 | +2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Furman · p 0.279
- Wk 8: at The Citadel · p 0.281
- Wk 10: at Chattanooga · p 0.267
- Wk 11: vs Mercer · p 0.496
- Wk 12: vs East Tennessee State · p 0.395
- Wk 13: at VMI · p 0.103
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Wake ForestFBS · L 10-42