Gardner-Webb
OVC · 3-0 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#16
A #25-level team matches it 41% of the time
Power
#61
+0.8 pts · likely #33–92
Strength of schedule
24.4
#96 of 129
Strength of victory
24.4
#24
Record SOS
0.558
Opp. 52.8% · Opp. opp. 61.9%
Remaining SOS
28.3
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Gardner-Webb. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Western Carolina | W 52-45 | +4.2 | +2.3 | 0.433 | 2 | +12.2 |
| 3 | vs The Citadel | W 23-13 | −1.1 | −2.3 | 0.200 | 3 | +5.9 |
| 6 | vs Charleston Southern | W 30-27 | −7.7 | −2.3 | 0.098 | 4 | −5.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Eastern Illinois · p 0.230
- Wk 8: vs UT Martin · p 0.303
- Wk 9: at Lindenwood · p 0.355
- Wk 10: at Tennessee Tech · p 0.697
- Wk 11: vs Southeast Missouri State · p 0.192
- Wk 12: at Tennessee State · p 0.135
- Wk 13: vs Western Illinois · p 0.070
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Georgia TechFBS · L 12-59
- Wk 4: at OhioFBS · L 35-52