Mercer
Southern · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#24
A #25-level team matches it 56% of the time
Power
#15
+11.5 pts · likely #9–38
Strength of schedule
28.1
#81 of 129
Strength of victory
29.2
#17
Record SOS
0.477
Opp. 40.0% · Opp. opp. 63.0%
Remaining SOS
29.4
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Mercer. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Presbyterian | L 10-15 | +0.8 | −2.3 | 0.237 | 3 | −3.7 |
| 3 | vs Wofford | W 22-21 | −1.5 | −2.3 | 0.192 | 3 | −0.5 |
| 4 | at The Citadel | W 38-0 | +2.6 | +2.3 | 0.392 | 2 | +35.7 |
| 5 | at East Tennessee State | W 38-34 | +7.9 | +2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Princeton · p 0.312
- Wk 9: vs VMI · p 0.057
- Wk 10: at Furman · p 0.394
- Wk 11: at Western Carolina · p 0.383
- Wk 12: vs Chattanooga · p 0.174
- Wk 15: vs South Dakota · p 0.447