Murray State
MVFC · 0-3 vs FCS · 0-5 overall
Strength of record
#107
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#114
−10.6 pts · likely #81–122
Strength of schedule
54.5
#1 of 129
Strength of victory
—
0 wins
Record SOS
0.557
Opp. 58.3% · Opp. opp. 50.3%
Remaining SOS
53.0
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at East Tennessee State | L 17-45 | +6.0 | +2.3 | 0.484 | 2 | −18.7 |
| 2 | vs Southeastern Louisiana | L 24-45 | +14.7 | −2.3 | 0.591 | 1 | −9.1 |
| 6 | at South Dakota | L 24-49 | +8.9 | +2.3 | 0.562 | 1 | −12.8 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Illinois State · p 0.388
- Wk 8: vs South Dakota State · p 0.835
- Wk 9: at Youngstown State · p 0.613
- Wk 10: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.686
- Wk 11: at Northern Iowa · p 0.302
- Wk 12: vs North Dakota · p 0.623
- Wk 13: at Indiana State · p 0.264
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Georgia StateFBS · L 21-37
- Wk 4: at Jacksonville StateFBS · L 10-45