South Dakota
MVFC · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#40
A #25-level team matches it 80% of the time
Power
#21
+9.8 pts · likely #11–44
Strength of schedule
36.6
#42 of 129
Strength of victory
16.3
#36
Record SOS
0.559
Opp. 60.0% · Opp. opp. 47.6%
Remaining SOS
53.4
9 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Lamar | L 13-20 | +3.8 | +2.3 | 0.424 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 3 | vs Northern Colorado | W 24-17 OT | −9.1 | −2.3 | 0.083 | 4 | −4.9 |
| 4 | vs Drake | W 42-21 | +5.1 | −2.3 | 0.336 | 2 | +20.6 |
| 5 | at North Dakota State | L 13-51 | +26.8 | +2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Indiana State · p 0.264
- Wk 8: at Northern Iowa · p 0.302
- Wk 9: vs Illinois State · p 0.388
- Wk 10: vs North Dakota · p 0.623
- Wk 11: vs South Dakota State · p 0.835
- Wk 12: at Southern Illinois · p 0.789
- Wk 14: vs Drake · p 0.263
- Wk 15: at Mercer · p 0.621
- Wk 17: at Montana · p 0.723
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 7-55