Northern Colorado
Big Sky · 1-2 vs FCS · 2-3 overall
Strength of record
#77
A #25-level team matches it 98% of the time
Power
#90
−5.5 pts · likely #56–112
Strength of schedule
33.8
#52 of 129
Strength of victory
17.5
1 wins
Record SOS
0.270
Opp. 16.7% · Opp. opp. 47.8%
Remaining SOS
51.5
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (3)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Colorado. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at South Dakota | L 17-24 OT | +12.0 | +2.3 | 0.643 | 1 | +9.2 |
| 4 | at Houston Christian | W 26-23 OT | −7.1 | +2.3 | 0.175 | 3 | −2.7 |
| 5 | vs Idaho State | L 18-26 | −1.3 | −2.3 | 0.195 | 3 | −9.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Idaho · p 0.545
- Wk 8: at Sacramento State · p 0.573
- Wk 9: vs UC Davis · p 0.606
- Wk 10: vs Montana State · p 0.836
- Wk 11: at Northern Arizona · p 0.534
- Wk 12: at Eastern Washington · p 0.382
- Wk 13: vs Portland State · p 0.126
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Chadron StateDII · W 17-3
- Wk 2: at Colorado StateFBS · L 17-21