North Dakota State
MVFC · 5-0 vs FCS · 5-0 overall
Strength of record
#4
A #25-level team matches it 12% of the time
Power
#1
+29.3 pts · likely #1–4
Strength of schedule
32.4
#60 of 129
Strength of victory
32.4
#14
Record SOS
0.565
Opp. 56.7% · Opp. opp. 56.1%
Remaining SOS
48.3
8 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at The Citadel | W 38-0 | −0.7 | +2.3 | 0.309 | 2 | +35.7 |
| 2 | at Tennessee State | W 59-3 | −9.9 | +2.3 | 0.131 | 3 | +28.0 |
| 3 | vs Southeast Missouri State | W 41-14 | −2.9 | −2.3 | 0.167 | 3 | +23.0 |
| 5 | vs South Dakota | W 51-13 | +11.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.686
- Wk 8: at Indiana State · p 0.264
- Wk 9: at South Dakota State · p 0.902
- Wk 10: vs Youngstown State · p 0.488
- Wk 11: at North Dakota · p 0.736
- Wk 12: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.202
- Wk 13: vs St. Thomas (MN) · p 0.201
- Wk 15: vs Illinois State · p 0.388