Tennessee State
OVC · 1-4 vs FCS · 1-4 overall
Strength of record
#103
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#108
−9.4 pts · likely #81–119
Strength of schedule
35.2
#46 of 129
Strength of victory
6.9
1 wins
Record SOS
0.541
Opp. 61.7% · Opp. opp. 39.0%
Remaining SOS
24.7
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs North Carolina A&T | W 24-21 | −10.6 | −2.3 | 0.069 | 4 | −9.5 |
| 2 | vs North Dakota State | L 3-59 | +29.6 | −2.3 | 0.892 | 1 | −8.1 |
| 3 | vs Alabama A&M | L 21-23 | −9.0 | −2.3 | 0.083 | 4 | −12.6 |
| 5 | vs Tennessee Tech | L 8-35 | +13.0 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Southeast Missouri State · p 0.290
- Wk 8: vs Howard · p 0.259
- Wk 9: vs Western Illinois · p 0.070
- Wk 10: vs Lindenwood · p 0.245
- Wk 11: at UT Martin · p 0.422
- Wk 12: vs Gardner-Webb · p 0.249
- Wk 13: at Charleston Southern · p 0.192