Furman
Southern · 4-1 vs FCS · 4-1 overall
Strength of record
#26
A #25-level team matches it 57% of the time
Power
#49
+2.6 pts · likely #30–77
Strength of schedule
27.9
#82 of 129
Strength of victory
27.1
#20
Record SOS
0.542
Opp. 51.7% · Opp. opp. 59.4%
Remaining SOS
29.0
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-0
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Furman. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs William & Mary | W 23-21 | +4.0 | −2.3 | 0.310 | 2 | +3.5 |
| 2 | vs Presbyterian | L 38-39 OT | +4.1 | −2.3 | 0.313 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 3 | at Campbell | W 28-24 | −5.0 | +2.3 | 0.214 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 5 | at Samford | W 31-13 | −11.5 | +2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Western Carolina · p 0.383
- Wk 8: at Wofford · p 0.353
- Wk 9: vs The Citadel · p 0.185
- Wk 10: vs Mercer · p 0.496
- Wk 11: at Chattanooga · p 0.267
- Wk 12: vs VMI · p 0.057