William & Mary
CAA · 3-2 vs FCS · 3-3 overall
Strength of record
#53
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#43
+3.9 pts · likely #24–70
Strength of schedule
29.2
#73 of 129
Strength of victory
14.4
#39
Record SOS
0.535
Opp. 53.3% · Opp. opp. 53.8%
Remaining SOS
27.0
6 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against William & Mary. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Furman | L 21-23 | +2.5 | +2.3 | 0.390 | 2 | +3.0 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 28-27 | −0.3 | −2.3 | 0.214 | 3 | −0.4 |
| 4 | vs Charleston Southern | W 34-7 | −2.8 | −2.3 | 0.168 | 3 | +18.7 |
| 5 | at Villanova | L 24-31 | +11.7 | +2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 8: vs Elon · p 0.420
- Wk 9: at New Hampshire · p 0.408
- Wk 10: vs UAlbany · p 0.062
- Wk 11: at Campbell · p 0.219
- Wk 12: at Hampton · p 0.173
- Wk 13: vs Richmond · p 0.340
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at VirginiaFBS · L 16-55