Villanova
CAA · 3-1 vs FCS · 3-2 overall
Strength of record
#18
A #25-level team matches it 44% of the time
Power
#17
+11.3 pts · likely #8–42
Strength of schedule
41.7
#21 of 129
Strength of victory
37.5
#5
Record SOS
0.706
Opp. 79.2% · Opp. opp. 53.5%
Remaining SOS
42.8
10 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (4)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Villanova. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Colgate | W 24-17 | +3.6 | −2.3 | 0.299 | 2 | +8.4 |
| 4 | at Monmouth | L 33-51 | +8.2 | +2.3 | 0.542 | 1 | −4.4 |
| 5 | vs William & Mary | W 31-24 | +3.3 | −2.3 | 0.294 | 2 | +8.5 |
| 6 | at New Hampshire | W 37-7 | +7.8 | +2.3 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 7: at Elon · p 0.546
- Wk 8: vs Hampton · p 0.104
- Wk 9: vs UAlbany · p 0.062
- Wk 11: at Towson · p 0.380
- Wk 12: vs Stony Brook · p 0.427
- Wk 13: vs Sacred Heart · p 0.138
- Wk 14: vs Harvard · p 0.716
- Wk 15: at Lehigh · p 0.686
- Wk 17: at Tarleton State · p 0.827
- Wk 17: vs Illinois State · p 0.388
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Penn StateFBS · L 6-52