Incarnate Word
Southland · 3-5 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#73
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#48
+3.7 pts · likely #28–70
Strength of schedule
39.1
#27 of 129
Strength of victory
43.9
#2
Record SOS
0.573
Opp. 58.9% · Opp. opp. 54.3%
Remaining SOS
26.2
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-3
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Nicholls State | L 6-20 | −2.2 | +2.1 | 0.269 | 2 | −11.7 |
| 1 | vs Eastern Washington | W 31-21 | +2.1 | −2.1 | 0.271 | 2 | +9.6 |
| 4 | at Northern Arizona | L 23-31 | +6.2 | +2.1 | 0.482 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 5 | vs Abilene Christian | W 38-7 | +17.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Northwestern State · p 0.041
- Wk 12: vs Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.645
- Wk 13: at Houston Christian · p 0.099
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at UTSAFBS · L 20-48