Nicholls State
Southland · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-6 overall
Strength of record
#67
A #25-level team matches it 95% of the time
Power
#63
+0.2 pts · likely #40–87
Strength of schedule
35.8
#40 of 129
Strength of victory
22.6
#44
Record SOS
0.524
Opp. 54.4% · Opp. opp. 48.4%
Remaining SOS
39.7
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-3
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Nicholls State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Incarnate Word | W 20-6 | +5.8 | −2.1 | 0.361 | 2 | +15.6 |
| 2 | vs West Georgia | L 10-34 | +3.6 | −2.1 | 0.306 | 2 | −21.9 |
| 5 | at Eastern Kentucky | L 7-27 | +1.6 | +2.1 | 0.360 | 2 | −14.1 |
| 6 | at Lamar | L 17-24 | +6.3 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at UTRGV · p 0.424
- Wk 12: vs Northwestern State · p 0.021
- Wk 13: at Southeastern Louisiana · p 0.744
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at TroyFBS · L 20-38
- Wk 4: at Texas StateFBS · L 3-35