Stephen F. Austin
Southland · 6-1 vs FCS · 7-2 overall
Strength of record
#12
A #25-level team matches it 23% of the time
Power
#12
+14.8 pts · likely #6–25
Strength of schedule
34.5
#46 of 129
Strength of victory
30.2
#18
Record SOS
0.513
Opp. 46.6% · Opp. opp. 60.6%
Remaining SOS
38.8
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
5-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Stephen F. Austin. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Abilene Christian | L 20-28 | +10.8 | +2.1 | 0.604 | 1 | +5.7 |
| 4 | vs Cal Poly | W 35-17 | +4.3 | −2.1 | 0.323 | 2 | +18.1 |
| 5 | vs McNeese | W 34-17 | −2.3 | −2.1 | 0.182 | 3 | +13.2 |
| 6 | at Incarnate Word | W 31-17 | +4.5 | +2.1 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: at Houston Christian · p 0.099
- Wk 12: vs Lamar · p 0.368
- Wk 13: at Northwestern State · p 0.041
- Wk 15: vs Abilene Christian · p 0.524
- Wk 16: at Montana State · p 0.905
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at HoustonFBS · L 0-27
- Wk 3: vs Sul Ross StateDII · W 63-0