East Texas A&M
Southland · 2-5 vs FCS · 2-7 overall
Strength of record
#85
A #25-level team matches it 99% of the time
Power
#77
−2.6 pts · likely #52–99
Strength of schedule
39.4
#25 of 129
Strength of victory
26.2
2 wins
Record SOS
0.584
Opp. 65.0% · Opp. opp. 45.2%
Remaining SOS
22.3
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Texas A&M. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | at Grambling State | L 28-31 | −6.8 | +2.1 | 0.176 | 3 | −6.5 |
| 5 | vs North Carolina Central | L 42-50 | +6.6 | −2.1 | 0.382 | 2 | −2.8 |
| 6 | at Northwestern State | W 40-10 | −16.6 | +2.1 | 0.055 | 4 | +12.1 |
| 7 | vs Lamar | L 23-33 | +5.7 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 11: vs McNeese · p 0.188
- Wk 12: vs Houston Christian · p 0.058
- Wk 13: at UTRGV · p 0.424
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at SMUFBS · L 13-42
- Wk 2: at Florida StateFBS · L 3-77