Southern Illinois
MVFC · 4-7 vs FCS · 4-8 overall
Strength of record
#48
A #25-level team matches it 88% of the time
Power
#44
+4.6 pts · likely #24–64
Strength of schedule
53.5
#1 of 129
Strength of victory
38.0
#5
Record SOS
0.607
Opp. 63.3% · Opp. opp. 55.7%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-4
Tier 2
Strong
2-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at Austin Peay | W 31-17 | +5.1 | +2.5 | 0.463 | 2 | +21.0 |
| 3 | vs Incarnate Word | W 35-28 | +14.5 | −2.5 | 0.581 | 1 | +16.9 |
| 4 | vs Southeast Missouri State | L 21-38 | +5.4 | −2.5 | 0.338 | 2 | −14.7 |
| 5 | at South Dakota | L 13-42 | +23.3 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at BYUFBS · L 13-41