North Dakota State
MVFC · 12-1 vs FCS · 12-2 overall
Strength of record
#1
A #25-level team matches it <0.1% of the time
Power
#3
+27.7 pts · likely #2–3
Strength of schedule
48.9
#9 of 129
Strength of victory
45.6
#2
Record SOS
0.631
Opp. 66.6% · Opp. opp. 56.2%
Remaining SOS
92.0
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
4-1
Tier 2
Strong
6-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (13)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Tennessee State | W 52-3 | +2.8 | −2.5 | 0.277 | 2 | +34.8 |
| 3 | at East Tennessee State | W 38-35 | +4.5 | +2.5 | 0.447 | 2 | +9.5 |
| 4 | vs Towson | W 41-24 | +4.3 | −2.5 | 0.311 | 2 | +19.3 |
| 5 | at Illinois State | W 42-10 | +11.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 17: vs South Dakota State · p 0.943
- Wk 17: vs (N) Montana State · p 0.897
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ColoradoFBS · L 26-31