Missouri State
MVFC · 8-3 vs FCS · 8-4 overall
Strength of record
#7
A #25-level team matches it 7.7% of the time
Power
#7
+12.5 pts · likely #6–30
Strength of schedule
49.1
#8 of 129
Strength of victory
35.8
#13
Record SOS
0.565
Opp. 55.9% · Opp. opp. 57.7%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-3
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Montana | L 24-29 | +13.7 | +2.5 | 0.688 | 1 | +11.4 |
| 3 | vs Lindenwood | W 28-14 | −2.0 | −2.5 | 0.180 | 3 | +8.7 |
| 4 | at UT Martin | W 31-24 | +13.3 | +2.5 | 0.679 | 1 | +21.7 |
| 5 | vs Youngstown State | W 38-31 | +5.9 | −2.5 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Ball StateFBS · L 34-42