Murray State
MVFC · 1-9 vs FCS · 1-11 overall
Strength of record
#114
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#111
−9.3 pts · likely #87–118
Strength of schedule
50.4
#5 of 129
Strength of victory
1.7
1 wins
Record SOS
0.575
Opp. 58.9% · Opp. opp. 54.6%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-5
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Murray State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Butler | L 17-19 | −2.9 | −2.5 | 0.165 | 3 | −6.8 |
| 3 | vs Mississippi Valley State | W 59-8 | −19.6 | −2.5 | 0.017 | 4 | +13.1 |
| 5 | at North Dakota | L 35-72 | +8.6 | +2.5 | 0.559 | 1 | −24.0 |
| 6 | vs South Dakota | L 0-59 | +23.5 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MissouriFBS · L 0-51
- Wk 12: at KentuckyFBS · L 6-48