East Tennessee State
Southern · 6-4 vs FCS · 7-5 overall
Strength of record
#38
A #25-level team matches it 68% of the time
Power
#49
+3.9 pts · likely #26–69
Strength of schedule
38.9
#32 of 129
Strength of victory
29.2
#29
Record SOS
0.531
Opp. 54.3% · Opp. opp. 50.8%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
4-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-1
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against East Tennessee State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs North Dakota State | L 35-38 | +29.9 | −2.5 | 0.894 | 1 | +22.0 |
| 4 | at Elon | W 34-14 | +6.3 | +2.5 | 0.496 | 2 | +27.1 |
| 5 | at The Citadel | W 34-17 | −3.7 | +2.5 | 0.245 | 3 | +14.2 |
| 6 | vs Chattanooga | L 10-17 | +10.1 | −2.5 |
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at App StateFBS · L 10-38
- Wk 2: vs UVA WiseDII · W 61-0