Incarnate Word
Southland · 11-3 vs FCS · 11-3 overall
Strength of record
#8
A #25-level team matches it 8.6% of the time
Power
#8
+12.5 pts · likely #6–27
Strength of schedule
38.9
#33 of 129
Strength of victory
28.2
#33
Record SOS
0.564
Opp. 58.7% · Opp. opp. 51.6%
Remaining SOS
—
0 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-2
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (14)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Northern Colorado | W 28-7 | −14.0 | −2.5 | 0.042 | 4 | +4.1 |
| 2 | at South Dakota State | L 24-45 | +34.1 | +2.5 | 0.970 | 1 | +15.8 |
| 3 | at Southern Illinois | L 28-35 | +2.8 | +2.5 | 0.402 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 4 | vs Northern Arizona | W 38-14 | +11.2 |