Montana
Big Sky · 8-3 vs FCS · 8-3 overall
Strength of record
#21
A #25-level team matches it 33% of the time
Power
#8
+13.8 pts · likely #5–26
Strength of schedule
37.7
#35 of 129
Strength of victory
34.1
#15
Record SOS
0.521
Opp. 51.0% · Opp. opp. 54.2%
Remaining SOS
69.8
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-2
Tier 2
Strong
3-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Missouri State | W 29-24 | +15.7 | −2.2 | 0.620 | 1 | +17.3 |
| 2 | at North Dakota | L 24-27 | +11.2 | +2.2 | 0.617 | 1 | +9.6 |
| 3 | vs Morehead State | W 59-2 | −10.3 | −2.2 | 0.072 | 4 | +22.9 |
| 4 | vs Western Carolina | W 46-35 | +8.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at Montana State · p 0.879
- Wk 14: vs Tennessee State · p 0.253
- Wk 15: at South Dakota State · p 0.963