Cal Poly
Big Sky · 2-6 vs FCS · 3-7 overall
Strength of record
#87
A #25-level team matches it 100% of the time
Power
#98
−7.1 pts · likely #74–115
Strength of schedule
39.9
#24 of 129
Strength of victory
20.3
2 wins
Record SOS
0.533
Opp. 55.6% · Opp. opp. 48.8%
Remaining SOS
40.2
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Cal Poly. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at San Diego | L 21-27 | −4.6 | +2.2 | 0.221 | 3 | −7.7 |
| 5 | at Northern Colorado | W 28-7 | −11.1 | +2.2 | 0.112 | 3 | +9.7 |
| 6 | vs Idaho State | L 38-41 | −0.2 | −2.2 | 0.220 | 3 | −6.5 |
| 7 | at UC Davis | L 10-56 | +13.6 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at Weber State · p 0.402
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at StanfordFBS · L 7-41
- Wk 3: vs Western OregonDII · W 31-14