UC Davis
Big Sky · 9-1 vs FCS · 9-2 overall
Strength of record
#4
A #25-level team matches it 2.6% of the time
Power
#5
+15.3 pts · likely #5–20
Strength of schedule
38.9
#30 of 129
Strength of victory
34.2
#14
Record SOS
0.512
Opp. 48.7% · Opp. opp. 56.2%
Remaining SOS
56.9
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs East Texas A&M | W 36-22 | −11.1 | −2.2 | 0.065 | 4 | +1.9 |
| 3 | at Southern Utah | W 24-21 | +10.9 | +2.2 | 0.611 | 1 | +16.1 |
| 4 | vs Utah Tech | W 32-14 | −8.7 | −2.2 | 0.089 | 4 | +8.6 |
| 5 | vs Idaho | W 28-26 | +10.7 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at Sacramento State · p 0.378
- Wk 15: vs Illinois State · p 0.457
- Wk 16: at South Dakota · p 0.870
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at CaliforniaFBS · L 13-31