Montana State
Big Sky · 10-0 vs FCS · 11-0 overall
Strength of record
#3
A #25-level team matches it 1.0% of the time
Power
#3
+24.0 pts · likely #2–5
Strength of schedule
33.3
#54 of 129
Strength of victory
33.3
#17
Record SOS
0.472
Opp. 42.6% · Opp. opp. 56.3%
Remaining SOS
66.3
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-0
Tier 2
Strong
4-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Montana State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Utah Tech | W 31-7 | −8.5 | +2.2 | 0.149 | 3 | +19.1 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 41-24 | +2.3 | −2.2 | 0.272 | 2 | +17.8 |
| 4 | vs Mercyhurst | W 52-13 | −11.5 | −2.2 | 0.061 | 4 | +22.0 |
| 5 | at Idaho State | W 37-17 | −0.5 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Montana · p 0.578
- Wk 15: vs UT Martin · p 0.536
- Wk 16: vs Idaho · p 0.497
- Wk 17: vs (N) North Dakota State · p 0.908
- Wk 17: vs South Dakota · p 0.796
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at New MexicoFBS · W 35-31