Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 6-3 vs FCS · 7-4 overall
Strength of record
#27
A #25-level team matches it 59% of the time
Power
#18
+10.2 pts · likely #9–42
Strength of schedule
35.8
#41 of 129
Strength of victory
21.4
#57
Record SOS
0.469
Opp. 44.1% · Opp. opp. 52.6%
Remaining SOS
47.7
2 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-3
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (9)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | at Utah Tech | W 45-17 | −6.7 | +2.2 | 0.179 | 3 | +23.1 |
| 4 | at Incarnate Word | L 14-38 | +12.6 | +2.2 | 0.655 | 1 | −7.7 |
| 5 | vs Sacramento State | W 34-16 | +3.0 | −2.2 | 0.288 | 2 | +16.5 |
| 6 | at Idaho | L 17-23 | +10.7 | +2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs Eastern Washington · p 0.432
- Wk 14: at Abilene Christian · p 0.522
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: vs Lincoln (CA)DII · W 66-6
- Wk 2: at ArizonaFBS · L 10-22