Incarnate Word
Southland · 9-2 vs FCS · 9-2 overall
Strength of record
#10
A #25-level team matches it 17% of the time
Power
#7
+14.0 pts · likely #5–25
Strength of schedule
34.2
#49 of 129
Strength of victory
27.3
#36
Record SOS
0.544
Opp. 55.9% · Opp. opp. 51.4%
Remaining SOS
52.0
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (11)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Incarnate Word. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Northern Colorado | W 28-7 | −13.5 | −2.2 | 0.047 | 4 | +5.2 |
| 2 | at South Dakota State | L 24-45 | +33.1 | +2.2 | 0.963 | 1 | +13.5 |
| 3 | at Southern Illinois | L 28-35 | +0.8 | +2.2 | 0.343 | 2 | −2.4 |
| 4 | vs Northern Arizona | W 38-14 | +12.4 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: at East Texas A&M · p 0.131
- Wk 15: vs Villanova · p 0.467
- Wk 16: at South Dakota State · p 0.963