Missouri State
MVFC · 8-2 vs FCS · 8-3 overall
Strength of record
#7
A #25-level team matches it 7.2% of the time
Power
#6
+14.5 pts · likely #5–24
Strength of schedule
44.2
#14 of 129
Strength of victory
35.3
#11
Record SOS
0.554
Opp. 54.5% · Opp. opp. 57.1%
Remaining SOS
93.2
1 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-2
Tier 2
Strong
3-0
Tier 3
Middle
3-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (10)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Montana | L 24-29 | +13.7 | +2.2 | 0.682 | 1 | +11.1 |
| 3 | vs Lindenwood | W 28-14 | −3.3 | −2.2 | 0.162 | 3 | +8.2 |
| 4 | at UT Martin | W 31-24 | +13.3 | +2.2 | 0.671 | 1 | +21.5 |
| 5 | vs Youngstown State | W 38-31 | +5.7 | −2.2 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 13: vs South Dakota State · p 0.932
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Ball StateFBS · L 34-42