Sacramento State
Big Sky · 5-2 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#23
A #25-level team matches it 46% of the time
Power
#15
+12.4 pts · likely #6–36
Strength of schedule
37.4
#36 of 128
Strength of victory
22.8
#54
Record SOS
0.518
Opp. 50.4% · Opp. opp. 54.7%
Remaining SOS
50.1
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Sacramento State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Nicholls State | W 38-24 | +6.2 | +2.5 | 0.492 | 2 | +21.0 |
| 2 | vs East Texas A&M | W 34-6 | −8.2 | −2.5 | 0.090 | 4 | +17.5 |
| 4 | at Idaho | L 27-36 | +15.2 | +2.5 | 0.722 | 1 | +8.7 |
| 5 | vs Northern Arizona | W 31-30 | +3.0 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Montana · p 0.656
- Wk 11: vs Cal Poly · p 0.062
- Wk 12: at UC Davis · p 0.532
- Wk 13: at North Dakota · p 0.637
- Wk 14: at South Dakota · p 0.617
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at StanfordFBS · W 30-23