Idaho
Big Sky · 5-1 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#9
A #25-level team matches it 17% of the time
Power
#5
+15.2 pts · likely #3–28
Strength of schedule
42.0
#18 of 128
Strength of victory
40.5
#6
Record SOS
0.624
Opp. 67.1% · Opp. opp. 53.0%
Remaining SOS
35.4
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-0
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Lamar | W 42-17 | −4.9 | +2.5 | 0.219 | 3 | +22.0 |
| 4 | vs Sacramento State | W 36-27 | +13.0 | −2.5 | 0.541 | 1 | +18.9 |
| 5 | at Eastern Washington | W 44-36 | +1.0 | +2.5 | 0.355 | 2 | +11.4 |
| 6 | at Cal Poly | W 42-14 | −10.6 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Northern Colorado · p 0.096
- Wk 11: at Weber State · p 0.393
- Wk 12: vs Idaho State · p 0.154
- Wk 14: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.562
- Wk 15: vs UAlbany · p 0.564
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at NevadaFBS · W 33-6
- Wk 3: at CaliforniaFBS · L 17-31