Northern Arizona
Big Sky · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#51
A #25-level team matches it 87% of the time
Power
#48
+4.2 pts · likely #26–70
Strength of schedule
45.3
#10 of 128
Strength of victory
50.7
#3
Record SOS
0.554
Opp. 58.1% · Opp. opp. 49.9%
Remaining SOS
42.6
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
2-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-2
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Arizona. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at North Dakota | L 22-37 | +10.9 | +2.5 | 0.618 | 1 | −2.3 |
| 3 | vs Utah Tech | L 36-50 | −6.9 | −2.5 | 0.106 | 3 | −20.1 |
| 4 | vs Montana | W 28-14 | +15.0 | −2.5 | 0.595 | 1 | +24.0 |
| 5 | at Sacramento State | L 30-31 | +13.9 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Montana State · p 0.859
- Wk 11: vs Northern Colorado · p 0.050
- Wk 12: at Eastern Washington · p 0.367
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at ArizonaFBS · L 3-38