Portland State
Big Sky · 3-2 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#42
A #25-level team matches it 79% of the time
Power
#49
+4.1 pts · likely #24–73
Strength of schedule
37.0
#39 of 128
Strength of victory
29.5
#25
Record SOS
0.518
Opp. 50.3% · Opp. opp. 54.8%
Remaining SOS
38.4
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
0-1
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (5)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Portland State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | vs Cal Poly | W 59-21 | −8.7 | −2.5 | 0.086 | 4 | +21.1 |
| 5 | at Montana State | L 22-38 | +22.7 | +2.5 | 0.865 | 1 | +7.9 |
| 7 | at Northern Arizona | W 45-21 | +7.7 | +2.5 | 0.534 | 1 | +30.7 |
| 8 | vs Idaho State | L 24-38 | −7.4 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at UC Davis · p 0.532
- Wk 11: vs Montana · p 0.526
- Wk 12: at Northern Colorado · p 0.096
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at OregonFBS · L 7-81
- Wk 2: at WyomingFBS · L 17-31
- Wk 3: vs North American UniversityNon-NCAA · W 91-0