Idaho State
Big Sky · 3-3 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#43
A #25-level team matches it 80% of the time
Power
#82
−3.8 pts · likely #55–102
Strength of schedule
43.4
#14 of 128
Strength of victory
30.1
#22
Record SOS
0.556
Opp. 56.9% · Opp. opp. 52.8%
Remaining SOS
46.8
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
0-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (6)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Idaho State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs Northern Iowa | L 17-41 | +8.0 | −2.5 | 0.407 | 2 | −16.3 |
| 4 | vs Northern Colorado | W 35-21 | −12.4 | −2.5 | 0.052 | 4 | −0.9 |
| 5 | at Montana | L 20-28 | +13.8 | +2.5 | 0.691 | 1 | +7.0 |
| 7 | vs Eastern Washington | W 42-41 | +2.0 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Weber State · p 0.271
- Wk 11: vs UC Davis · p 0.399
- Wk 12: at Idaho · p 0.734
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at San Diego StateFBS · L 28-36
- Wk 2: at Utah StateFBS · L 28-78