Northern Iowa
MVFC · 5-2 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#14
A #25-level team matches it 24% of the time
Power
#21
+10.2 pts · likely #9–46
Strength of schedule
47.1
#8 of 128
Strength of victory
43.6
#5
Record SOS
0.571
Opp. 57.7% · Opp. opp. 55.8%
Remaining SOS
38.6
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
3-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Northern Iowa. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Weber State | L 17-34 | −1.8 | −2.5 | 0.184 | 3 | −17.3 |
| 3 | at Idaho State | W 41-17 | −1.4 | +2.5 | 0.296 | 2 | +22.7 |
| 5 | vs Youngstown State | W 44-41 | +13.7 | −2.5 | 0.560 | 1 | +13.0 |
| 6 | at Indiana State | W 27-20 | −8.8 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Western Illinois · p 0.031
- Wk 11: at Missouri State · p 0.463
- Wk 12: vs North Dakota State · p 0.665
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Iowa StateFBS · L 9-30