North Dakota
MVFC · 5-2 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#19
A #25-level team matches it 38% of the time
Power
#22
+10.2 pts · likely #9–45
Strength of schedule
40.3
#26 of 128
Strength of victory
27.6
#38
Record SOS
0.558
Opp. 55.1% · Opp. opp. 57.2%
Remaining SOS
43.9
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
1-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Drake | W 55-7 | −0.9 | −2.5 | 0.201 | 3 | +30.2 |
| 2 | vs Northern Arizona | W 37-22 | +5.0 | −2.5 | 0.331 | 2 | +16.7 |
| 5 | at South Dakota State | L 21-42 | +29.7 | +2.5 | 0.942 | 1 | +10.8 |
| 6 | vs Western Illinois | W 49-10 | −15.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Murray State · p 0.180
- Wk 11: at South Dakota · p 0.617
- Wk 12: vs Illinois State · p 0.428
- Wk 13: vs Sacramento State · p 0.529
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 3: at Boise StateFBS · L 18-42