North Dakota State
MVFC · 6-2 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#22
A #25-level team matches it 46% of the time
Power
#4
+16.3 pts · likely #3–22
Strength of schedule
33.3
#56 of 128
Strength of victory
28.3
#35
Record SOS
0.514
Opp. 49.8% · Opp. opp. 54.5%
Remaining SOS
62.6
7 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against North Dakota State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs (N) Eastern Washington | W 35-10 | +2.8 | 0.0 | 0.336 | 2 | +25.9 |
| 2 | vs Maine | W 44-7 | −2.9 | −2.5 | 0.165 | 3 | +28.7 |
| 3 | vs Central Arkansas | W 49-31 | +12.4 | −2.5 | 0.525 | 1 | +25.4 |
| 5 | vs South Dakota | L 19-24 | +8.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at South Dakota State · p 0.943
- Wk 11: vs Southern Illinois · p 0.562
- Wk 12: at Northern Iowa · p 0.590
- Wk 13: vs Drake · p 0.158
- Wk 14: at Montana State · p 0.859
- Wk 15: at South Dakota · p 0.617
- Wk 16: at Montana · p 0.656