South Dakota
MVFC · 6-1 vs FCS · 6-2 overall
Strength of record
#4
A #25-level team matches it 8.3% of the time
Power
#25
+9.4 pts · likely #10–51
Strength of schedule
40.3
#25 of 128
Strength of victory
32.7
#14
Record SOS
0.609
Opp. 62.9% · Opp. opp. 56.8%
Remaining SOS
49.0
5 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
2-1
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
4-0
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against South Dakota. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs St. Thomas (MN) | W 24-0 | −3.2 | −2.5 | 0.160 | 3 | +18.9 |
| 3 | vs Lamar | W 35-6 | −4.3 | −2.5 | 0.142 | 3 | +21.0 |
| 5 | at North Dakota State | W 24-19 | +19.5 | +2.5 | 0.811 | 1 | +23.8 |
| 6 | vs Murray State | W 38-7 | −5.4 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Southern Illinois · p 0.689
- Wk 11: vs North Dakota · p 0.505
- Wk 12: at Western Illinois · p 0.062
- Wk 14: vs Sacramento State · p 0.529
- Wk 15: vs North Dakota State · p 0.665
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at MissouriFBS · L 10-35