Missouri State
MVFC · 3-4 vs FCS · 3-5 overall
Strength of record
#61
A #25-level team matches it 93% of the time
Power
#50
+4.0 pts · likely #28–72
Strength of schedule
41.4
#21 of 128
Strength of victory
12.7
#74
Record SOS
0.522
Opp. 51.6% · Opp. opp. 53.3%
Remaining SOS
60.9
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-4
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | at UT Martin | L 31-38 | +9.1 | +2.5 | 0.570 | 1 | +3.6 |
| 4 | vs Utah Tech | W 59-14 | −0.3 | −2.5 | 0.212 | 3 | +28.9 |
| 5 | at Southern Illinois | L 20-33 | +13.5 | +2.5 | 0.683 | 1 | +2.0 |
| 6 | vs North Dakota State | L 10-38 | +15.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Illinois State · p 0.428
- Wk 11: vs Northern Iowa · p 0.456
- Wk 12: at South Dakota State · p 0.943
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at KansasFBS · L 17-48