Drake
Pioneer · 5-2 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#39
A #25-level team matches it 76% of the time
Power
#72
−2.3 pts · likely #53–96
Strength of schedule
28.0
#80 of 128
Strength of victory
9.3
#80
Record SOS
0.489
Opp. 46.4% · Opp. opp. 54.0%
Remaining SOS
27.6
4 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-0
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Drake. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at North Dakota | L 7-55 | +9.2 | +2.5 | 0.574 | 1 | −22.3 |
| 3 | vs (N) South Dakota State | L 7-70 | +29.5 | 0.0 | 0.918 | 1 | −5.7 |
| 5 | at Morehead State | W 16-9 | −12.2 | +2.5 | 0.103 | 3 | −2.4 |
| 6 | vs Valparaiso | W 20-14 | −14.6 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Marist · p 0.055
- Wk 11: vs Presbyterian · p 0.017
- Wk 12: at Butler · p 0.255
- Wk 13: at North Dakota State · p 0.778
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: vs Northwestern (IA)Non-NCAA · L 24-27