Illinois State
MVFC · 4-4 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#73
A #25-level team matches it 97% of the time
Power
#30
+8.6 pts · likely #13–51
Strength of schedule
32.9
#60 of 128
Strength of victory
6.6
#85
Record SOS
0.450
Opp. 41.7% · Opp. opp. 51.8%
Remaining SOS
40.2
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
0-2
Tier 3
Middle
1-0
Tier 4
Weak
3-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (8)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Illinois State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs Dayton | W 41-0 | −19.8 | −2.5 | 0.017 | 4 | +13.2 |
| 2 | at Western Illinois | W 34-18 | −17.0 | +2.5 | 0.055 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 3 | at Eastern Illinois | L 13-14 | +0.7 | +2.5 | 0.348 | 2 | +2.2 |
| 4 | vs Lindenwood | W 48-17 | −11.0 | −2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Missouri State · p 0.463
- Wk 11: vs Murray State · p 0.105
- Wk 12: at North Dakota · p 0.637