Eastern Illinois
OVC · 5-2 vs FCS · 5-3 overall
Strength of record
#33
A #25-level team matches it 65% of the time
Power
#64
+0.7 pts · likely #39–83
Strength of schedule
30.4
#71 of 128
Strength of victory
20.3
#58
Record SOS
0.418
Opp. 36.7% · Opp. opp. 52.0%
Remaining SOS
13.6
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
2-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Eastern Illinois. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at Indiana State | W 27-0 | −4.4 | +2.5 | 0.230 | 3 | +22.4 |
| 3 | vs Illinois State | W 14-13 | +9.5 | −2.5 | 0.448 | 2 | +7.1 |
| 4 | vs McNeese | W 31-28 | −13.8 | −2.5 | 0.043 | 4 | −10.8 |
| 5 | at Northwestern State | W 19-10 | −15.9 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: at Lindenwood · p 0.104
- Wk 11: vs Tennessee State · p 0.235
- Wk 12: at Robert Morris · p 0.069
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Bowling GreenFBS · L 15-38