Southeast Missouri State
OVC · 4-3 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#41
A #25-level team matches it 79% of the time
Power
#19
+11.4 pts · likely #7–41
Strength of schedule
36.9
#40 of 128
Strength of victory
23.9
#49
Record SOS
0.570
Opp. 61.2% · Opp. opp. 48.8%
Remaining SOS
31.9
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-2
Tier 2
Strong
1-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-0
Tier 4
Weak
1-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against Southeast Missouri State. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | vs Lindenwood | W 45-7 | −10.8 | −2.5 | 0.065 | 4 | +20.9 |
| 3 | vs Southern Illinois | L 25-26 | +13.6 | −2.5 | 0.557 | 1 | +9.0 |
| 4 | at Eastern Kentucky | L 38-41 | +5.0 | +2.5 | 0.461 | 2 | +4.9 |
| 6 | at Central Arkansas | L 33-38 | +10.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Robert Morris · p 0.034
- Wk 11: at UT Martin · p 0.572
- Wk 12: at Bryant · p 0.352
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 1: at Kansas StateFBS · L 0-45