UC Davis
Big Sky · 4-3 vs FCS · 4-4 overall
Strength of record
#50
A #25-level team matches it 85% of the time
Power
#37
+7.0 pts · likely #16–59
Strength of schedule
32.2
#63 of 128
Strength of victory
28.9
#28
Record SOS
0.464
Opp. 43.8% · Opp. opp. 51.5%
Remaining SOS
37.3
3 games left
Record by opponent quality
Tier 1
#25-level or better
0-1
Tier 2
Strong
2-1
Tier 3
Middle
2-1
Tier 4
Weak
0-0
- Tier 1, #25-level or better:
- Would be favored over a #25-level team
- Tier 2, Strong:
- Beats a #25-level team 25–50% of the time
- Tier 3, Middle:
- Beats a #25-level team 10–25% of the time
- Tier 4, Weak:
- Beats a #25-level team under 10% of the time
Counted games (7)
Opponent strength leaves out every game against UC Davis. p = Φ((strength + site − 8.98) / 14.72), the chance a #25-level team loses that game. SOS is the average p; SOV is the average over wins.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp. strength | Site | p | Tier | Game power |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | at East Texas A&M | W 48-10 | −5.8 | +2.5 | 0.201 | 3 | +29.5 |
| 3 | vs Southern Utah | W 23-21 | +9.6 | −2.5 | 0.449 | 2 | +8.8 |
| 4 | vs Eastern Washington | L 24-27 | −0.1 | −2.5 | 0.217 | 3 | −4.6 |
| 5 | at Cal Poly | W 31-13 | −10.9 | +2.5 |
Remaining FCS games
- Wk 10: vs Portland State · p 0.340
- Wk 11: at Idaho State · p 0.248
- Wk 12: vs Sacramento State · p 0.529
Not counted (opponent not FCS)
- Wk 2: at Oregon StateFBS · L 7-55